요세미티 Tioga and Glacier Point Roads Opening & Closing Dates

11월 4일 샌프란시스코에 도착하여 하루 쉬고 11월 5일 요세미티에 진입한 후 11월 7일이나 8일쯤 Tioga Pass를 넘는다고 가정했을 때, 

2003년부터 최근 10년간(파랑색으로의 처리)의 Tioga Road와 Glacier Point의 폐쇄 날짜는 아래와 같다.    

아슬아슬한 날짜대를 빨강색으로 처리해 보니,

(출처 http://www.nps.gov/yose/planyourvisit/tiogaopen.htm)

	Tioga Road		Glacier Point		Mariposa Grove		Snowpack
Year	Opened	Closed	Opened	Closed	Opened	Closed	as of Apr. 1
2013	May 11	??	May 3	??	(Didn't close for the season)	??	52%
2012	May 7	Nov 8	Apr 20	Nov 8	(Didn't close for the season)	(Didn't close for the season)	43%
2011	June 18	Jan 17, 2012	May 27	Nov 19**	Apr 15	(Didn't close for the season)	178%
2010	June 5	Nov 19	May 29	Nov 7	Mar 26/ May 21	Nov 20	107%
2009	May 19	Nov 12	May 5	Nov 12			92%
2008	May 21	Oct 30	May 2	Dec 12			99%
2007	May 11	Dec 6	May 4	Dec 6			46%
2006	Jun 17	Nov 27	May 25	Nov 27			129%
2005	Jun 24	Nov 25	May 25	?			163%
2004	May 14	Oct 17	May 14	?			83%
2003	May 31	Oct 31	May 31	Oct 31			65%
2002	May 22	Nov 5	May 17	Nov 5			95%
2001	May 12	Nov 11	May 15	?			67%
2000	May 18	Nov 9	May 15	Nov 9			97%
1999	May 28	Nov 23*	May 28	Nov 23			110%
1998	Jul 1	Nov 12	Jul 1	Nov 6			156%
1997	Jun 13	Nov 12	May 22	Nov 12			105%
1996	May 31	Nov 5	May 24	Nov 5			111%
1995	Jun 30	Dec 11	Jul 1	Dec 11			178%
1994	May 25	Nov 10					51%
1993	Jun 3	Nov 24					159%
1992	May 15	Nov 10					58%
1991	May 26	Nov 14					79%
1990	May 17	Nov 19					45%
1989	May 12	Nov 24					83%
1988	Apr 29	Nov 14					31%
1987	May 2	Nov 13					51%
1986	May 24	Nov 29					137%
1985	May 8	Nov 12					97%
1984	May 19	Nov 8					85%
1983	Jun 29	Nov 11					224%
1982	May 28	Nov 15					131%
1981	May 15	Nov 12					77%
1980	Jun 6	Dec 2					144%
Average ('80-'11)	May 27	Nov 5	May 23	Nov 17
Median ('80-'11)	May 24	Nov 12	May 24	Nov 12

대략 못 지나갈 확률이 30~40%인 것 같다. 흠... 너무 어정쩡한테 어떻게 루트를 잡아야 잘 잡았다고 소문이 나려나.